Last Week in Investing

1️⃣ Bitcoin’s Rapid Rebound — But Volatility Isn’t Over

After US-Israel strikes on Iran, crypto markets saw an immediate liquidation cascade.

Roughly $128B in market value evaporated within minutes.

Yet Bitcoin quickly recovered toward $67K.

Analysts from firms like Tokenize Capital noted the real test comes when US equity markets and Bitcoin ETFs reopen where institutional positioning could amplify moves.

Key risk:
If ETF investors reduce exposure, BTC could revisit lower levels quickly.

2️⃣ XRP’s Weakness Reflects Broader Rotation

XRP is down sharply over the past year despite broader ETF adoption across crypto.

Three pressures stand out:

• Resurgence in precious metals as inflation hedges

• Rising stablecoin adoption for transactions

• Interest-rate uncertainty following the nomination of Kevin Warsh to succeed Jerome Powell

If rate cuts are delayed and yields rise, liquidity-sensitive assets like crypto typically face pressure.

3️⃣ Strait of Hormuz — The Macro Transmission Risk

Rising tension around the Strait of Hormuz, a corridor handling ~20% of global oil supply, could push crude toward $120–$130 in a disruption scenario.

Why that matters for crypto:

Higher oil → Higher inflation
Higher inflation → Fewer rate cuts
Fewer rate cuts → Rising Treasury yields
Rising yields → Tighter liquidity

And crypto historically behaves as a high-beta liquidity asset during tightening cycles.

It doesn’t need catastrophe.

It just needs liquidity to contract.

What Investors Are Watching Now

Bullish Scenario

• Conflict de-escalation

• Stable oil prices

• Bond yields remaining contained

Risk Scenario

• Sustained oil spike

• Treasury yields rising materially

• Derivatives deleveraging cascade

Lesson Of The Week

Crypto doesn’t move in isolation anymore.

It trades alongside oil, bond yields, and global liquidity.

The investors who win aren’t just watching charts, they’re watching macro transmission.

Free Workshop Invitation

Crypto May Be Building Its Own “Shadow Central Bank”

Most people see crypto as assets moving up and down on a chart.

But something much deeper is forming beneath the surface.

Traditional central banks control:
• Liquidity
• Interest rates
• Market stability
• Emergency capital support

Inside crypto, similar functions are quietly being replicated through:

• Stablecoins
• Lending protocols
• Liquidity pools
• Algorithmic monetary systems

No single authority.

But collectively, a new financial infrastructure is forming.

Crypto as speculation → Crypto as financial plumbing.

When markets build their own capital allocation systems, adoption becomes structural, not cyclical.

What Investors Should Be Watching

✓ Growth of stablecoin liquidity
✓ On-chain lending volumes
✓ Institutional integration with DeFi
✓ Yield market development
✓ How crypto responds during stress events

Financial infrastructure growth has historically preceded major market expansions.

That pattern may be playing out again.

The real question is:

Are you positioned to understand it or just reacting to price?

Join Our Free Crypto Web Class With Leslie Lv

Inside this session, you’ll learn how to:

✅ Protect capital during high volatility
✅ Understand how institutional liquidity flows through crypto
✅ Apply the S.M. Indicator for better timing
✅ Build a disciplined framework instead of reacting to headlines

📅 Date & Time: 5th March (Thursday), 8 PM – 10 PM (GMT +8)
📍 Location: Online via Zoom

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That’s a wrap for this week!

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