🛢️Oil Prices Could Jump $20 💰: What You Need to Know

Key Points to Know

Oil prices are in the news again! Recent tensions between Israel and Iran could cause a big jump in oil prices, possibly rising by $20 per barrel. This prediction comes from Goldman Sachs, a well-known financial company that studies market trends.

Why Are Prices Rising?

Tensions Between Countries

The conflict between Israel and Iran has people worried about oil production. After a missile attack from Iran this week, there are fears that Israel might retaliate. If Iran’s oil production drops, prices could go up.

Goldman Sachs’ Predictions

According to Daan Struyven, a leader in commodities research at Goldman Sachs, if Iran loses 1 million barrels per day in oil production, we could see prices go up by about $20 per barrel next year. This is based on the idea that other oil-producing countries, especially those in OPEC+, won’t increase their production to fill the gap.

Current Market Reaction

Recently, U.S. crude oil prices rose by about 5%, and they are expected to keep climbing. Investors are watching the situation closely, leading to further increases in prices due to worries about supply problems.

The Importance of Iran’s Oil

Iran is a key player in the global oil market, producing nearly 4 million barrels of oil each day. If its oil industry gets targeted in this conflict, around 4% of the world’s oil supply could be affected. This could have a big impact on oil prices and the global economy.

U.S. Response

When asked if the U.S. would support an Israeli strike on Iranian oil facilities, President Joe Biden said they were discussing it. Analysts think his comments may have caused oil prices to rise. This shows how global events can influence the oil market.

Future Predictions

Experts at Fitch Solutions say that if a full-scale war breaks out, oil prices could go above $100 per barrel. In a worst-case scenario, if the Strait of Hormuz is closed due to military action, prices might even hit $150 or more. While a full-scale war is seen as unlikely, the chance of mistakes causing more conflict has increased, creating more uncertainty.

Global Impact

Rising oil prices affect people all over the world. Higher oil prices can lead to increased costs for everyday things like gas and transportation. Countries that rely on oil imports might face economic problems, leading to inflation and slower economic growth. For instance, a $10 increase in oil prices could raise inflation rates by about 0.3%.

Conclusion

The situation is changing quickly, and oil prices are being closely watched by experts and investors. As tensions between Israel and Iran grow, the risk of disruption in the oil market is a significant concern.

It’s important to stay informed about how these conflicts can affect the global economy and your daily life, from gas prices to the overall health of the economy.

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Details
Date: 4th October 2024, Friday (Tonight)
Time: 8:30PM (GMT+8)

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